Oceanic Capital Profile Picture Investment Adviser

Oceanic Capital

Oceanic Capital

  • Education University of Vermont, BA
  • Qualifications 25 year professional and registered investment advisor

Global Diversified Aggressive

The Global Diversified Aggressive portfolio invests in multiple asset classes including domestic, broad international and emerging market equities; fixed income Exchange Traded Funds; commodities and energy; real estate; and foreign exchange. I use both individual stocks and ETFs, and may employ leverage, tactical positions, and inverse index ETFs.
At Oceanic, I seek to develop prudent allocations and employ assets with lower correlation to domestic equities.

Rebalancing attempts to trim exposure during rising markets and increase exposure during pullbacks.  

I will occasionally use leverage in this portfolio.

Technical analysis is used in an attempt to time my entry and exit points. When the technical market conditions confirm the fundamentals, I will tactically change allocation percentages to commit more to out-of-favor assets or pare down exposure to what I believe are overpriced assets.
My research focuses on asset allocations, as well as selecting what I personally believe are the right stocks within those allocations.

My asset class research primarily focuses on investment performance correlations over various horizons.

I then look at each sector fundamentally once a proper asset allocation has been established. I tend to favor “category killer” companies that benefit from strong competitive barriers, have high liquidity and price transparency.

At Oceanic, I conduct my own research and also purchase outside institutional research. Our sources include The Gartman Letter, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Barron’s and The Dow Theory Letter, among others.
My goal is to achieve "diversification optimization.” In my efforts to achieve it, I study the relative performance and historic correlations of different asset classes and sectors. I typically select non-traditional and uncorrelated assets in an effort to offset portfolio risk and volatility and to try to stabilize returns.

This portfolio typically will have 10 to 15 positions, with individual weightings anywhere from 5 to 30%. I rebalance actively, so that all assets classes are kept within 2 to 5% of their original allocation percentage. Additionally, I will use tactical allocation strategies in 5 to 10% of the portfolio when market technicals align with our core strategy.

This model uses a mix of individual stocks and ETFs. Typical allocation will be 40 to 60% in equities as a whole, with approximately half of that allocated to domestic positions and half to international (developed and emerging.)

This strategy may employ leverage, as well as inverse ETFs as hedges or diversification strategies. As much as 5 to 10% of assets may be invested strategically.
I seek to maintain our sell discipline on both the upside and downside. I establish near-term sell thresholds for each new position.

On the downside, I will not typically close out a position entirely unless a loss of 5 to 10% occurs early on the investment horizon. I will first look to trim positions and rebalance allocations.  

On the upside, if a position achieves 50% or more of a targeted gain, I may look to trim the position back to the original invested amount, simultaneously reducing the allocation.
Although my overall focus is strategic, this portfolio employs tactical strategies as well. I look for opportunities to add to our returns during stressful or calm markets by buying or selling volatility as we see appropriate. These opportunities will likely be highlighted when both the fundamental and technical conditions for an asset class align. I seek to take advantage of this alignment by increasing or decreasing exposure to the relevant asset class.

Risk score

3
7.0%

Best 30 days

-5.5%

Worst 30 days

Performance

  • -2.7%
    30 day
  • 0.2%
    90 day
  • 7.4%
    365 day
Monthly vs S&P500
oceanic capital - global diversified aggressive
-13.8% 12 months
  • $10,000 subscription min
  • Margin account required
  • 1% fee

Replicability

100.0%
  • Replicable

Top 5 Holdings View all

11.3%
7.8%
6.9%
6.7%
6.4%

Model commentary

  1. US job growth is flat lining

    15 April 2013

    The U.S. unemployment picture remains pretty grim.

  2. We like cash-rich companies and gold in 2013 31 December 2012
  3. We're bullish on energy, gold and Microsoft 21 November 2012
  4. Confusion is still king 14 October 2012
  5. The race to finish line 2012 begins 19 September 2012

show more


Performance detail

  • Manager
  • Dow Jones Moderately Aggressive
  • S&P 500

Performance

Inception February 03, 2011
as of June 18, 2013 Manager Dow Jones Moderately Aggressive S&P 500 Average Subscriber
Past 30 days -2.7% -2.0% -0.9% -2.8%
Past 90 days 0.2% 2.5% 6.0% -0.1%
Past 365 days 7.4% 19.4% 22.8% 5.7%
Since Inception (Annualized) 8.3% 7.5% 10.4% -
2013 (YTD) 4.5% 9.3% 15.8% 4.0%
2012 6.6% 14.0% 13.4% 4.3%

Risk Metrics

Last 365 days
as of June 18, 2013 Manager Dow Jones Moderately Aggressive S&P 500
Best 30 days 5.0% 6.2% 8.2%
Worst 30 days -4.7% -4.5% -7.0%
Volatility 8.3% 8.8% 12.4%
Sharpe Ratio 0.87 2.18 1.83
Sortino Ratio 1.23 3.28 2.74
Maximum Drawdown -5.2% -5.6% -7.7%
Value-at-risk (95%, 1 week) -1.9% -2.0% -2.9%
vs. Dow Jones Moderately Aggressive vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio -2.56 -2.39
Alpha -6.9% -5.1%
Beta 0.81 0.59
R-Squared 0.73 0.77
  • $10,000 subscription min
  • Margin account required
  • 1% fee

Latest transactions view all

Average trades per month 1.0
Executed Symbol Security Replicable Type Price
10/19/12 COP ConocoPhillips Yes Sell $57.45
10/19/12 PSX PHILLIPS 66 Yes Sell $44.64
10/19/12 BPT BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust Yes Sell $86.36
10/19/12 DIS Walt Disney Co/The Yes Sell $51.90
10/19/12 MSFT Microsoft Corp Yes Buy $28.64
10/19/12 QQQ Powershares QQQ Yes Sell $65.66
10/19/12 XLE ENERGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR Yes Buy $73.77
10/19/12 GDX MARKET VECTORS GOLD MINERS Yes Buy $51.73


Important Information

1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

2. Performance of the model manager's account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions, and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are exclusive of Covestor fees. More

3. Average subscription returns ("Avg Sub" or "Avg Client") are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More

4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.

5. The performance charts are provided for informational purposes only, and should not be used as the basis for making an investment decision. Variables such as corporate actions or foreign exchange may affect daily performance displays. We rely on mathematical formulas, computer programs, and pricing information from third-party vendors to provide these returns. Neither Covestor nor any of its data or content providers shall be liable for any errors in this information or any actions taken by you in reliance upon this information.

6. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More

7. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.

8. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as a general guide.

9. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable Holdings" currently pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.

10. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable" () passed Covestor's trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription trade activity may vary.

11. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor´s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P/Dow Jones Indices LLC, a subsidiary of The McGraw-Hill Companies Copyright © 2013.