John Rodgers

Worked as a Tax Executive at several resource and commodity companies
Personal Information
Education
Bethany College
Qualifications
CPA
Date of Birth
March 19, 1971
Job Title
Tax Director
Industry
Utilities
Investment Experience
Personal investor for 15+ years

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  1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
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Invests solely in commodity and resource companies using a macroeconomic approach to determine which resources/commodities followed by a heavy fundamental and DCF analysis.

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INDIVIDUAL
INVESTOR
Inception date
Risk Score
Strategy
Asset class
Cap. bias
Long/Short
Current holdings 19
Avg. trades per month
Latest trade UNG
Subscribers

Performance and Risk

Performance Summary (as at end of )
Manager*
S&P 500
1M 3M YTD 1Y SI
Inception Manager* S&P 500 Avg. Sub.
Month to date (%)
1 month (%)
3 month (%)
1 year (%)
Annualized since inception (%) ? ? ?
Since inception (%) n/a
Sharpe (since inception) n/a

* Includes trades that fail Covestor Trading Rules

Past performance is not indicative of future performance

Strategy

Summary

Invests solely in commodity and resource companies using a macroeconomic approach to determine which resources/commodities followed by a heavy fundamental and DCF analysis.

Asset Allocation

Top Holdings (excluding cash) (as at end of )
Symbol Security Allocation(%)
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust - 79.00
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation 8.28
BG Bunge Limited 6.85
MSB Mesabi Trust 6.58
RRC Range Resources Corporation 6.39
  Top holdings total (excluding cash) -50.90%
  Cash 95.92%
  Total number of holdings 19
  Leverage 1.62

View all holdings »

Investment Report

August 2010

As the summer drags on, I continue to become more pessimistic with regard to the short-term.  July seemed to represent a technical bounce from oversold levels and anticipation of positive earnings.  The end of summer and early fall will provide ample time for the market to pull back once again.  The fundamental picture remains very uncertain with unemployment levels high, durable goods orders down, and inflationary pressures at bay.  With interest rates at lows and the US deficit at record levels, there does not seem to be traditional Keynesian options available to the US Gov’t to stimulate the economy. It appears that good old fashion, Alfred Marshall neoclassical economics will need to play out over the next year or so. I remain very cautious and plan to stay in a holding pattern until I see signs of recovery.  I do not plan to make any meaningful trades over the next month.

During July, I added Range Resources (RRC) which is a natural gas producer that holds substantial assets in the Marcellus shale formation.  They have managed to hold steady during the month of July in spite of low natural gas prices with the help of collar contracts that hedge a portion of their production.  I believe they own some nice assets that should prove valuable once natural gas returns to normal levels, which I believe could take some time. Additionally, there was decent appreciation on Mesabi Trust (MSB) during July as a result of higher iron ore prices and volumes.  They also increased the distribution to $.80 per unit as of July 30, 2010. 

History

Monthly Performance (%)
Month Return Avg. Sub. Risk Performance

Transactions

Latest Transactions (as at end of )
Executed Symbol Security Type Price
August 31, 2010 UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP Sell $6.30
August 31, 2010 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Sell short $104.88
August 27, 2010 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Buy to cover $106.92
August 27, 2010 UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP Buy $6.27
August 27, 2010 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Sell short $106.28
August 27, 2010 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Buy to cover $105.44
August 19, 2010 NSU Nevsun Resources Ltd Buy $4.20
August 19, 2010 UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP Sell $7.03

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