The Tactical Energy portfolio invests in energy exploration and production (E&P) companies. It makes its allocations based on a structured process and seeks to deliver risk-adjusted returns that may offer better value than buy-and-hold investments in the energy E&P sector.
We take a value approach to investing and try not to overpay for anything. Our discipline is buying good large cap companies at reasonable valuations and selling puts underneath as a means to initiate positions and create income. Companies are scrutinized closely and we look at earnings, cash flow, debt, and market cap as well as many other metrics. Often we initiate positions in companies that we have followed for many years and have invested in many times in the past.
My view is that strong investment returns can help overcome shortfalls in other areas, such as poor planning. This is why my focus has always been on providing the highest return for a given amount of risk. With markets in a guessing game as to the real value of assets due to the global monetary experiment being played, buying and selling stocks or indexes is not a place where I feel I can add value. This uncertainty is why I feel the right option strategies provide much more potential for positive returns due to a much greater room for error. It is easier to hit the dartboard than the bullseye.
Dynamic Option Strategy targets capital appreciation along with income generation by strategically selling options on the broad market index and large cap stocks. We seek to generate positive portfolio cash flow through careful risk management in all market environments.
We do not believe we are smarter than the market, nor can we time the market in any given week or month. As a result, we take an approach similar to an insurance company in our investment strategy that focuses on probability of success and the management of risk.
All investments entail risk. Loss events do occur. However, there is an undeniable characteristic of investors (humans). We have an overwhelming fear of large loss and that translates into overpaying for “insurance”. Horse Cove makes money because at its core, that “insurance” is over-priced. There is a difference between implied volatility in the pricing of an option and the realized volatility at expiration. That difference cannot be arbitraged away. Horse Cove Partners profits by selling implied volatility and profits when realized volatility is less than implied as time decays.
As advisers, we understand that events will occur. “When” they will occur is the unknown. One of the keys to success is to take intelligent losses when those events occur and expect that the trading strategy will result in positive performance net of those losses over time.
We believe our success comes from focusing on the risk of each trade. By maintaining a weekly investment horizon and relying on over 60 years of history of market movement we believe it is possible to realize positive returns through option transactions, while maintaining acceptable risk limits.
Our Small Cap portfolio seeks to achieve capital appreciation by primarily investing in small companies with above average growth potential. Small companies, according to the manager, are companies whose market capitalizations are generally less than $2 billion at the time of purchase. The manager maintains a concentrated portfolio of small cap companies traded on US exchanges.