Richard Moore Profile Picture Individual Investor

Richard Moore

Business Owner,Financial Services

  • Qualifications MBA Finance, CFA
  • Investment Experience 40+Years

Market Comparables

Using long refined financial models, screens the market for companies based on their relative stock price movement and valuations over time. From a shortlist of potential investments, looks deep into their financial forecasts to assess their fundamental prospects for earnings growth, looking for hidden value. Long only buy and hold model.
Screens broad US market with models refined over many years with 2 main indicators to expose stocks to research. Valuation screen: uses relative and adjusted EBITDA multiples compared to their industry peers. Momentum screen: looks at relative price performance over the time periods in 3 month, 6 month and 12 month cycles, to restrict to those that the market indicates are outperforming their peers.
Looks at the primary fundamentals of the prospects, uses 10k and 10q s to adjust the EBITDA and refine list and then examines the fundamentals of the company. Particularly concerned with earnings growth and quality of earnings. Does not consider fallen angels.
Monitors proprietary sentiment indicators to drive asset allocation decisions of cash. Buys no more than 3% of portfolio in any individual name, but that may rise to a higher percentage with price appreciation. Finally looks at the diversification within portfolio and how this particular opportunity fits within it.
Monitors positions until they are deemed fairly valued relatively according to the models, then sells 50% and 50% more if rises to 10% higher than the median on relative EBITDA basis. Uses stop loss orders as a tool to limit losses or exits if earnings or projected earnings change negatively to his model. Holds positions for specific predetermined number of months then if the company is not still an opportunity from the model criteria will always exit.
In this market, relaxes rules on earnings growth to a more relative and less absolute position.

Risk rating

3
8.2%

Best 30 days

-9.9%

Worst 30 days

Performance

  • -0.2%
    30 day
  • -5.1%
    365 days
  • 14.8%
    Since Inception
    March 29, 2009
Monthly vs S&P500
Sparkbar Graph, Market Comparables Investment Model Performance versus S&P500
-10.2%

Last 12 months

  • $5,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Replicability

100.0%
  • Replicable

Top 5 Holdings View all

81.0%
19.0%
  • Cash
  • SPY

Model commentary

  1. Strong earnings continue to power this market rally

    7 May 2012

    The most bullish market factor is still the upward trend in earnings estimates for the S&P 500 in 2012.

  2. This year's market is setting up like 2011 30 April 2012
  3. Stay Cautious - This Bull Market Run is Uncertain 8 March 2012
  4. My three market indicators signal that caution's … 14 February 2012
  5. Here are the two ways 2012 could go 11 January 2012

show more


Performance detail

  • Manager
  • Russell 2000
  • S&P 500

Performance

Inception March 29, 2009
as of May 23, 2012 Manager Russell 2000 S&P 500 Average Subscriber
Past 30 days -0.2% -3.4% -3.5% -
Past 90 days -0.6% -7.7% -3.3% -
Past 365 days -5.1% -5.6% 0.2% -
Since Inception (Annualized) 4.5% 20.1% 16.4% -
2012 (YTD) 1.4% 3.3% 4.9% -
2011 -6.9% -5.5% 0.0% -
2010 2.7% 25.3% 12.8% -3.8%

Risk Metrics

Last 365 Days
as of May 23, 2012 Manager Russell 2000 S&P 500
Best 30 days 2.8% 20.3% 13.6%
Worst 30 days -8.7% -23.6% -16.7%
Volatility 4.9% 33.0% 23.2%
Sharpe Ratio -1.06 -0.17 0.00
Sortino Ratio -1.18 -0.25 0.00
Maximum Drawdown -9.4% -29.0% -18.8%
Value-at-risk (95%, 1 week) -1.1% -7.6% -5.4%
vs. Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio 0.02 -0.25
Alpha -5.1% -5.4%
Beta 0.07 0.10
R-Squared 0.23 0.23

Latest transactions view all

Average trades per month 18.7
Executed Symbol Security Replicable Type Price
05/22/12 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Yes Buy $132.80
05/14/12 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Yes Sell $134.65
05/07/12 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Yes Sell $137.36
04/26/12 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Yes Buy $140.29
04/23/12 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Yes Buy $136.70
04/19/12 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Yes Buy $138.29
04/16/12 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Yes Buy $137.22
04/16/12 DOG PROSHARES SHORT DOW30 Yes Sell $36.12
  • $5,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Important Information

Important Information

1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

2. Performance of the model manager's account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions, and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are exclusive of Covestor fees. More

3. Average subscription returns ("Avg Sub" or "Avg Client") are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More

4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.

5. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More

6. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.

7. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as a general guide.

8. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable Holdings" currently pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.

9. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable" () passed Covestor's trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription trade activity may vary.

10. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor´s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P 500 Copyright © 2012.

11. Dow Jones index data: CME Group Index Services, LLC 2012