Michael Arold Profile Picture

Michael Arold

Individual Investor

Michael exploits market inefficiencies using a momentum-based trading strategy. He has a strong engineering background and currently lives in Germany.

Investment style

Rigorous top-down investment process, starting with analysis of expected market direction, investment themes and market sentiment for the coming weeks. Second step is identification of asset classes, sectors, and stocks to benefit from identified themes. Finally, Michael is deploying technical analysis for timing of entries and exits. Positions will be closed if momentum fades or predefined stop-loss is broken.

As Michael does not consider fundamental financial value, he does not trade a stock within its period of earnings results as he is at a relative disadvantage to those with deep individual understanding of the company.

How I got started

Michael has been an active investor since the mid nineties. Initially, he developed mechanical trading systems, which worked quite well in that period. In 2005, Michael started to develop his current approach. Lessons learned during the internet bubble helped to shape his strategy and drive investment decisions during the recent US Housing Crisis.


Investment models

Model commentary

  1. Swing manager Arold calls Toll Brothers one of his best new ideas

    23 May 2012

    Arold says little international headline risk, room for analyst sentiment improvement, and breakout potential make Toll Brothers one of his very few long ideas.

  2. Deconstructing Wells Fargo with triple screen analysis 1 May 2012
  3. Keep an eye on China and copper prices 3 April 2012
  4. Why I sold my silver position 6 March 2012
  5. Getting more cautious, but still strongly long 6 March 2012

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Important Information

Important Information

Performance of the model manager’s account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash and broker commissions. More

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Month to Date returns & Since Inception returns are revised daily. All other returns (month, 3 month, year to date, et al) are calculated as of the most recent month end date.

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