Michael Arold Profile Picture

Michael Arold

Individual Investor

Michael exploits market inefficiencies using a momentum-based trading strategy. He has a strong engineering background and currently lives in Germany.

Investment style

Rigorous top-down investment process, starting with analysis of expected market direction, investment themes and market sentiment for the coming weeks. Second step is identification of asset classes, sectors, and stocks to benefit from identified themes. Finally, Michael is deploying technical analysis for timing of entries and exits. Positions will be closed if momentum fades or predefined stop-loss is broken.

As Michael does not consider fundamental financial value, he does not trade a stock within its period of earnings results as he is at a relative disadvantage to those with deep individual understanding of the company.

How I got started

Michael has been an active investor since the mid nineties. Initially, he developed mechanical trading systems, which worked quite well in that period. In 2005, Michael started to develop his current approach. Lessons learned during the internet bubble helped to shape his strategy and drive investment decisions during the recent US Housing Crisis.


Investment models

Model commentary

  1. An amazing parallel signaling market bottoms

    26 January 2012

    These three characteristics played out almost the exact same way in the last three market bottoms.

  2. AAII sentiment survey: So what?! 19 January 2012
  3. Outperforming my benchmark, with lower risk 12 January 2012
  4. It pays to be the mouse 29 December 2011
  5. Taking profits quickly in this news-driven market 12 December 2011

show more

Important info

Performance of the model manager’s account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash and broker commissions. More

Personal Track Record returns are calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis of equity positions in the account provided by the member. More

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Month to Date returns & Since Inception returns are revised daily. All other returns (month, 3 month, year to date, et al) are calculated as of the most recent month end date.

The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.