LSW Investing Profile Picture Investment Advisor

LSW Investing

LSW Investing

  • Founded 2010

Macro Themes

The objective of this portfolio is to seek out well-managed companies that will benefit from the global macro trends of the 21st century such as energy, infrastructure, agriculture, and scarce commodities. A portion of the fund will be placed into companies that pay out a portion of their income in dividends and have solid business models to continue growing their cash flows in the double digits annually. The other portion of the fund will seek out high growth companies that will have a high probability of outsized capital appreciation.
The foundations of long term investing involve spotting global macro trends through research, while having the patience for the investment thesis to come to fruition. Significant global macro trends for the 21st century include energy, infrastructure, and scarce commodities. These trends will be the portfolio's core focus.
The process begins with a top-down economic analysis to narrow down the sectors and industries to the most interesting opportunities.  Next we scan for undervalued companies emphasizing the small-capitalization space. The initial, brief scan points us to the most attractive stocks for additional analysis. Since we assume these companies should be benefiting from the aforementioned trends found in the economic analysis, each individual stock is then analyzed for its position to excel in periods of high growth. These companies must have solid balance sheets, while setting up projects that will generate high future cash flows.
We use the following position and sector constraints to mitigate risk of overconcentration in the portfolio. Positions are initiated at 3%-4%. Individual maximum positions are the lesser of 15% of the total portfolio or 5% of the outstanding shares of the company. Individual industry weightings are less than 50%. Cash positions are kept at a minimum of 5% of the total portfolio and are used for opportunistic acquisitions. The portfolio is monitored on a daily basis and includes analysis of stock price changes and any company-related and economic news to make sure all theories are still accurate.
The main sell discipline is a change in a company's fundamentals or growth strategy and comparing our valuation of a company to its current valuation. This discipline is vigorously applied.
There are no exceptions. If a company's fundamentals change for the worse and we feel the company becomes overvalued, the position will be sold.

Risk rating

3
19.7%

Best 30 days

-25.0%

Worst 30 days

Performance

  • -10.5%
    30 day
  • -18.5%
    365 days
  • -14.7%
    Since Inception
    January 04, 2011
Monthly vs S&P500
Sparkbar Graph, Macro Themes Investment Model Performance versus S&P500
-14.4%

Last 12 months

  • $10,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Replicability

100.0%
  • Replicable

Top 5 Holdings View all

15.1%
11.2%
10.4%
9.6%
8.7%
  • SDRL
  • BBEP
  • TLM
  • GLOG
  • VTG

Model commentary

  1. Wild cards ahead for the economy and the markets

    8 May 2012

    Recent news that Spain is back in a recession has caused some concern among global investors.

  2. Beware, this stock market rally lacks conviction 9 April 2012
  3. This stock market rally still faces headwinds 21 March 2012
  4. A mixed macro picture, but good news from my … 14 February 2012

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Performance detail

  • Manager
  • Dow Jones Global
  • S&P 500

Performance

Inception January 04, 2011
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Dow Jones Global S&P 500 Average Subscriber
Past 30 days -10.5% -6.9% -4.5% -11.2%
Past 90 days -16.5% -8.0% -3.0% -17.2%
Past 365 days -18.5% -10.2% -0.1% -
Since Inception (Annualized) -10.9% -6.8% 2.6% -
2012 (YTD) -5.9% 1.5% 4.7% -

Risk Metrics

Last 365 Days
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Dow Jones Global S&P 500
Best 30 days 19.7% 13.6% 13.6%
Worst 30 days -25.0% -16.3% -16.7%
Volatility 29.7% 21.0% 23.2%
Sharpe Ratio -0.63 -0.49 -0.01
Sortino Ratio -0.86 -0.67 -0.01
Maximum Drawdown -29.2% -22.1% -18.8%
Value-at-risk (95%, 1 week) -6.9% -4.9% -5.4%
vs. Dow Jones Global vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio -0.50 -1.22
Alpha -5.8% -19.0%
Beta 1.19 1.11
R-Squared 0.70 0.75

Latest transactions view all

Average trades per month 0.5
Executed Symbol Security Replicable Type Price
04/26/12 CHKR CHESAPEAKE GRANITE WASH TRUS Yes Buy $23.90
04/26/12 CHK Chesapeake Energy Corp Yes Sell $18.20
04/09/12 GLOG GasLog Ltd.   Buy $11.16
04/09/12 SSW SEASPAN CORP Yes Sell $16.47
03/01/12 NNA Navios Maritime Acquisition Corporation Yes Buy $3.49
03/01/12 HUSA HOUSTON AMERICAN ENERGY CORP Yes Sell $7.71
01/31/12 TLM TALISMAN ENERGY INC Yes Buy $11.89
01/31/12 GLNG GOLAR LNG LTD Yes Sell $41.12
  • $10,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Important Information

Important Information

1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

2. Performance of the model manager's account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions, and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are exclusive of Covestor fees. More

3. Average subscription returns ("Avg Sub" or "Avg Client") are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More

4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.

5. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More

6. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.

7. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as a general guide.

8. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable Holdings" currently pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.

9. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable" () passed Covestor's trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription trade activity may vary.

10. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor´s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P 500 Copyright © 2012.

11. Dow Jones index data: CME Group Index Services, LLC 2012

12. This model was launched on Covestor on December 21, 2011. Trading history prior to launch was audited by Covestor and is consistent with current model strategy. Manager performance incorporates this historical data.

Background provided by the manager
LSW Form ADV