Leonard Fox Profile Picture Individual Investor

Len Fox

Trader, Scarecrow Trading,Financial Services,Scarecrow Trading

  • Education Regis University
  • Qualifications MBA
  • Founded 2003

Condor

The strategy will establish the exposure in either a long or inverse Russell 2000 ETF. The algorithm is reviewed and positions adjusted on daily basis.  This trading algorithm was written in 2007.
Strategy reviews 5 decision algorithms. Driven by Momentum - Trend - Seasonal Timing and Sentiment. Consensus/Disagreement determines the trigger point for signal generation of the individual strategies.
I design for consistent performance in all markets. Back testing is done from 1988 forward. Strategies are developed and parked for an aging period before being placing a strategy into trading rotation. All strategies must age a year and trade actively for a year before being considered for rotation. The algorithm seeks volatility in the markets.
Condor will take a 100% position in a 2X leveraged ETF (either long or short) depending on the market direction call given by the Condor whether long or Inverse.
Positions are revaluated on a daily basis. Depending on how the additional 24hrs of data impacts the algorithm, we will make adjustments to market position at close.
100% mechanical - data base or algorithm issues will result in money market position being taken until resolved.

Risk rating

5
25.2%

Best 30 days

-38.3%

Worst 30 days

Performance

  • -9.0%
    30 day
  • -52.5%
    365 days
  • -54.8%
    Since Inception
    May 12, 2011
Monthly vs S&P500
Sparkbar Graph, Condor Investment Model Performance versus S&P500
-52.4%

Since Inception

  • $5,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Replicability

100.0%
  • Replicable

Top 5 Holdings View all

85.3%
14.3%
  • UWM
  • Cash

Model commentary

  1. Leonard Fox: Reducing leverage with these two ETFs (QLD, UWM)

    1 April 2011

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Performance detail

  • Manager
  • Dow Jones US Aggressive
  • S&P 500

Performance

Inception May 12, 2011
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Dow Jones US Aggressive S&P 500 Average Subscriber
Past 30 days -9.0% -5.0% -4.5% -
Past 90 days -11.9% -4.0% -3.0% -
Past 365 days -52.5% -1.1% -0.1% -
Since Inception (Annualized) -53.7% -3.6% -2.3% -
2012 (YTD) -8.0% 5.4% 4.7% -

Risk Metrics

Last 365 Days
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Dow Jones US Aggressive S&P 500
Best 30 days 25.2% 15.8% 13.6%
Worst 30 days -38.3% -20.2% -16.7%
Volatility 54.7% 26.3% 23.2%
Sharpe Ratio -0.96 -0.05 -0.01
Sortino Ratio -1.33 -0.07 -0.01
Maximum Drawdown -62.0% -22.6% -18.8%
Value-at-risk (95%, 1 week) -12.7% -6.1% -5.4%
vs. Dow Jones US Aggressive vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio -1.43 -1.37
Alpha -63.3% -64.4%
Beta 1.73 1.93
R-Squared 0.69 0.67

Latest transactions view all

Average trades per month 2.1
Executed Symbol Security Replicable Type Price
01/23/12 TWM PROSHARES ULTRASHORT RUSSELL20 Yes Sell $34.23
01/23/12 UWM PROSHARES ULTRA RUSSELL2000 Yes Buy $38.99
01/09/12 UWM PROSHARES ULTRA RUSSELL2000 Yes Sell $36.16
01/09/12 TWM PROSHARES ULTRASHORT RUSSELL20 Yes Buy $37.06
10/31/11 UWM PROSHARES ULTRA RUSSELL2000 Yes Buy $35.88
10/31/11 TWM PROSHARES ULTRASHORT RUSSELL20 Yes Sell $40.96
10/24/11 TWM PROSHARES ULTRASHORT RUSSELL20 Yes Buy $42.71
10/24/11 TWM PROSHARES ULTRASHORT RUSSELL20 Yes Buy $42.85
  • $5,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Important Information

Important Information

1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

2. Performance of the model manager's account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions, and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are exclusive of Covestor fees. More

3. Average subscription returns ("Avg Sub" or "Avg Client") are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More

4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.

5. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More

6. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.

7. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as a general guide.

8. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable Holdings" currently pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.

9. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable" () passed Covestor's trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription trade activity may vary.

10. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor´s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P 500 Copyright © 2012.

11. Dow Jones index data: CME Group Index Services, LLC 2012