Lelio Vrancovich Profile Picture Individual Investor

Lelio Vrancovich

Litigation Support,Legal Services

Technical ETFs

The strategy consists of buying and selling highly liquid ETFs at major market turning points. To minimize headline risk and to reduce volatility, the model will hold no individual stocks.
The approach is centered around measuring market breadth internals and determining when the stock averages are masking weakness or strength. This is accomplished by using overbought and oversold indicators around moving averages. The model will generally buy after corrections and sell after rallies.

The model may utilize inverse ETFs, but will not own leveraged ETFs.
Trading decisions are based on technical indicators that identify overbought and oversold conditions in markets.
This model will typically hold around 2 to 3 ETF positions (but may hold as little as 1 ETF). Holding periods are determined by market conditions. Trading costs and implications are considered before placing a trade.
Positions will be closed once the factors that led to their acquisition are no longer valid.
None.

Risk rating

4
19.2%

Best 30 days

-17.5%

Worst 30 days

Performance

  • -13.5%
    30 day
  • -
    365 days
  • 8.3%
    Since Inception
    August 08, 2011
Monthly vs S&P500
Sparkbar Graph, Technical ETFs Investment Model Performance versus S&P500
-9.3%

Since Inception

  • $5,000 subscription min
  • 0.8% fee

Replicability

100.0%
  • Replicable

Top 5 Holdings View all

58.6%
35.4%
6.0%
  • GDXJ
  • GDX
  • Cash

Model commentary

  1. Stay Vigilant - A Stock Market Correction is Coming

    15 March 2012

    Here we are at the beginning of March, and the stock market rally keeps going.

  2. This rally appears to have real legs 10 February 2012

show more


Performance detail

  • Manager
  • Dow Jones Moderately Aggressive
  • S&P 500

Performance

Inception August 08, 2011
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Dow Jones Moderately Aggressive S&P 500 Average Subscriber
Past 30 days -13.5% -4.8% -4.5% -
Past 90 days -14.8% -4.9% -3.0% -
Since Inception 8.3% 9.4% 17.6% -
2012 (YTD) 4.5% 3.1% 4.7% -

Risk Metrics

Since Inception
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Dow Jones Moderately Aggressive S&P 500
Best 30 days 19.2% 11.4% 13.6%
Worst 30 days -17.5% -9.3% -9.8%
Volatility 26.3% 17.2% 23.0%
Sharpe Ratio 0.39 0.68 0.96
Sortino Ratio 0.52 1.02 1.40
Maximum Drawdown -19.5% -9.9% -9.8%
Value-at-risk (95%, 1 week) -6.1% -4.0% -5.3%
vs. Dow Jones Moderately Aggressive vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio -0.08 -0.69
Alpha -1.3% -6.8%
Beta 1.15 0.88
R-Squared 0.57 0.59

Latest transactions view all

Average trades per month 0.6
Executed Symbol Security Replicable Type Price
04/26/12 GDXJ MARKET VECTORS JR GOLD MINER Yes Buy $22.53
04/26/12 GDX MARKET VECTORS GOLD MINERS Yes Buy $46.21
03/15/12 URA GLOBAL X URANIUM ETF   Sell $10.08
03/15/12 QQQ Powershares QQQ Yes Sell $66.66
11/01/11 URA GLOBAL X URANIUM ETF   Buy $9.33
11/01/11 QQQ Powershares QQQ Yes Buy $56.48
10/27/11 DIA SPDR DJIA TRUST Yes Sell $121.75
08/09/11 DIA SPDR DJIA TRUST Yes Buy $109.40
  • $5,000 subscription min
  • 0.8% fee

Important Information

Important Information

1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

2. Performance of the model manager's account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions, and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are exclusive of Covestor fees. More

3. Average subscription returns ("Avg Sub" or "Avg Client") are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More

4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.

5. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More

6. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.

7. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as a general guide.

8. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable Holdings" currently pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.

9. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable" () passed Covestor's trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription trade activity may vary.

10. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor´s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P 500 Copyright © 2012.

11. Dow Jones index data: CME Group Index Services, LLC 2012