Kingsbury Capital Profile Picture Investment Advisor

Kingsbury Capital

Kingsbury Capital

Tech and Communications

This model concentrates on firms that are focused on Technology and Communications infrastructure and services. The companies that are selected for this model will have a wide range of market capitalizations, but typically have a minimum market cap of $1 billion, with no upside maximum.
We are looking for several types of momentum in our screen for candidates for this model. Business momentum includes increasing sales, earnings and balance sheet strength. Price/market-capitalization momentum includes an upward-sloping chart pattern. Put another way, we are not looking to try to "pick a bottom" with a security, nor are we looking for a sideways-trading security that may "break out."
We start our process by running an industry-comparative screen for firms that are in the model already - while also keeping tabs on firms that have been previously screened and possibly rejected in the past. We also look for profitable firms, firms that trade above $15/share, and firms that have a positive chart pattern. We will typically only act on issues that have several years of price data. Lastly, we try to avoid firms that have a legacy 'overhang' of price action from prior years.
We aim to maintain a number of positions, varying from a low of 20 to a high of 40. We feel that below 20 positions will generate additional concentration risk, while over 40 will dilute potential returns per idea. We feel that a sufficient market-capitalization diversity can also be achieved within that range of ideas.
Our closing methodology focuses primarily on downside price action, and action relative to the benchmark index (i.e. - underperformance). We typically stop a loss at a 20% loss; we will also typically look to 'trail-stop' from the issue's high-water-mark. (Note: The Covestor replication process does not consider stop losses or trailing stops when executing trades in subscriber accounts.) If a position experiences a negative fundamental event, we may exit before stops are hit. If we do not have an acceptable replacement security, the capital will move to a cash instrument. On the upside, we seek to maintain positions close to target weights - in other words, we will trim a position as it begins to move materially to the upside.
We have not always held to an absolute trailing-20%-stop rule (as it applies to profitable position management versus absolute loss management) - though we have not had many instances of such a situation.  We have had a small number of 'sideways' positions that in retrospect could have been 'time-stopped' and applied the capital elsewhere.  We are constantly seeking to refine our money-management disciplines to balance risk and return.

Risk rating

3
16.1%

Best 30 days

-22.0%

Worst 30 days

Performance

  • -2.1%
    30 day
  • -
    365 days
  • 4.5%
    Since Inception
    June 07, 2011
Monthly vs S&P500
Sparkbar Graph, Tech and Communications Investment Model Performance versus S&P500
2.0%

Since Inception

  • $10,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Replicability

95.9%
4.1%
  • Replicable
  • Non-replicable

Top 5 Holdings View all

5.7%
5.3%
5.1%
4.8%
4.8%
  • IBM
  • AAPL
  • FISV
  • SWI
  • JKHY

Model commentary

  1. Kingsbury Capital's new Covestor model focuses on the Tech and Communications infrastructure field (IBM, SYNT, ACIW)

    11 August 2011

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Performance detail

  • Manager
  • Nasdaq 100
  • S&P 500

Performance

Inception June 07, 2011
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Nasdaq 100 S&P 500 Average Subscriber
Past 30 days -2.1% -5.1% -4.5% -
Past 90 days 1.7% -1.6% -3.0% -
Since Inception 4.5% 11.9% 2.5% -
2012 (YTD) 14.5% 11.5% 4.7% -

Risk Metrics

Since Inception
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Nasdaq 100 S&P 500
Best 30 days 16.1% 13.3% 13.6%
Worst 30 days -22.0% -16.1% -16.7%
Volatility 26.9% 24.0% 23.4%
Sharpe Ratio 0.17 0.51 0.10
Sortino Ratio 0.24 0.71 0.13
Maximum Drawdown -25.8% -16.1% -18.8%
Value-at-risk (95%, 1 week) -6.2% -5.6% -5.4%
vs. Nasdaq 100 vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio -0.79 0.19
Alpha -7.1% 2.6%
Beta 1.04 1.05
R-Squared 0.87 0.83

Latest transactions view all

Average trades per month 12.1
Executed Symbol Security Replicable Type Price
05/17/12 NUAN NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC Yes Sell $21.81
05/17/12 INTU INTUIT INC Yes Sell $54.39
05/17/12 T AT&T Inc Yes Buy $33.37
05/17/12 LVLT LEVEL 3 COMMUNICATIONS INC Yes Buy $22.46
05/17/12 FICO FAIR ISAAC CORP Yes Buy $40.17
05/17/12 VZ Verizon Communications Inc Yes Buy $41.11
05/17/12 TSS TOTAL SYSTEM SERVICES INC Yes Buy $22.48
05/17/12 SWI SOLARWINDS INC Yes Sell $43.70
  • $10,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Important Information

Important Information

1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

2. Performance of the model manager's account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions, and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are exclusive of Covestor fees. More

3. Average subscription returns ("Avg Sub" or "Avg Client") are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More

4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.

5. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More

6. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.

7. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as a general guide.

8. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable Holdings" currently pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.

9. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable" () passed Covestor's trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription trade activity may vary.

10. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor´s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P 500 Copyright © 2012.

11. Dow Jones index data: CME Group Index Services, LLC 2012

Background provided by the manager
Kingsbury Capital Firm Brochure