KC Capital Mgmt Profile Picture Investment Advisor

KC Capital Mgmt

President and CEO,Financial Services,KC Capital Mgmt

  • Education Centre College
  • Qualifications RIA Rep, CTA, BSc Financial Economics, Minor Mathematics
  • Investment Experience Trading using quantitative models since 2003, IA since 2006, CTA Since 2010

Quantitative ETF

The model utilizes quantitative methods of analysis from pairs trading to trend following price physics, capital management arbitrage, risk management arbitrage, and statistical analysis.

The model will trade only ETFs.
The model trades price swings of the market, and will look to capitalize on volatility-based overbought, and oversold conditions, including pairs trades and other price action such as trend following. Statistically, the manager has found that a combination of these two characteristics produces optimal results.

This model will trade long, short and inverse ETFs.
eSignal premier for real time data, and MultiCharts to create backtestable portfolios and methodologies.
Short-term positions, primarily in the technology sector, will typically last a few days. Long-term positions, in order to achieve broader market exposure will typically last from a few weeks to a few months.

Large amounts of capital will be allocated to shorter term opportunities. Note that this model will not day trade.
The sell discipline is determined by profit/loss, quantitative analysis, and determination of overvaluation whereas entries are met with a determination of undervaluation.
None.

Risk rating

5
Leverage: 1.11
19.5%

Best 30 days

-17.7%

Worst 30 days

Performance

  • 19.0%
    30 day
  • -0.5%
    365 days
  • -0.5%
    Since Inception
    May 23, 2011
Monthly vs S&P500
Sparkbar Graph, Quantitative ETF Investment Model Performance versus S&P500
-0.5%

Since Inception

  • $10,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Replicability

100.0%
  • Replicable

Top 5 Holdings View all

111.2%
-11.2%
  • TQQQ
  • Cash

Model commentary

  1. Deflationary forces set to push the market lower

    14 May 2012

    The decline I see is driven by deflationary price action to counterbalance the Federal Reserve’s printing of money.

  2. Our strategy for a market entering a bull cycle 3 April 2012
  3. The Greek Debt Melodrama is Far From Over 9 March 2012
  4. Expecting a market pullback sometime soon 9 February 2012
  5. Our edge is state of the art programming 9 January 2012

show more


Performance detail

  • Manager
  • Dow Jones U.S. Moderate Index
  • S&P 500

Performance

Inception May 23, 2011
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Dow Jones U.S. Moderate Index S&P 500 Average Subscriber
Past 30 days 19.0% -2.9% -4.5% -
Past 90 days 7.2% -2.1% -3.0% -
Past 365 days -0.5% 2.4% -0.1% -
Since Inception (Annualized) -0.5% 2.4% -0.1% -
2012 (YTD) 3.9% 3.8% 4.7% -

Risk Metrics

Last 365 Days
as of May 22, 2012 Manager Dow Jones U.S. Moderate Index S&P 500
Best 30 days 19.5% 9.2% 13.6%
Worst 30 days -17.7% -11.0% -16.7%
Volatility 35.0% 14.3% 23.2%
Sharpe Ratio -0.02 0.16 -0.01
Sortino Ratio -0.03 0.21 -0.01
Maximum Drawdown -20.2% -12.3% -18.8%
Value-at-risk (95%, 1 week) -8.1% -3.3% -5.4%
vs. Dow Jones U.S. Moderate Index vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio -0.08 -0.01
Alpha 5.0% 5.3%
Beta 0.16 0.11
R-Squared 0.00 0.01

Latest transactions view all

Average trades per month 6.2
Executed Symbol Security Replicable Type Price
05/18/12 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ Yes Buy $45.24
05/16/12 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ Yes Buy to cover $49.34
04/30/12 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ Yes Sell short $114.90
04/30/12 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ Yes Buy to cover $116.00
04/27/12 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ Yes Sell short $116.50
04/19/12 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ Yes Sell $112.27
04/19/12 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ Yes Buy $116.56
04/18/12 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ Yes Sell $113.85
  • $10,000 subscription min
  • margin account required
  • 1.5% fee

Important Information

Important Information

1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

2. Performance of the model manager's account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions, and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are exclusive of Covestor fees. More

3. Average subscription returns ("Avg Sub" or "Avg Client") are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More

4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.

5. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More

6. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.

7. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as a general guide.

8. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable Holdings" currently pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.

9. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable" () passed Covestor's trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription trade activity may vary.

10. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor´s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P 500 Copyright © 2012.

11. Dow Jones index data: CME Group Index Services, LLC 2012

Background provided by the manager
KC Capital Management Form ADV II