Banu Simmons Profile Picture Individual Investor

Banu Simmons

Senior Researcher

  • Education University of East Anglia, United Kingdom; METU, Ankara Turkey
  • Qualifications MA, PhD Economics, BSc Economics

Long Only Sector Rotation

Multi-sector, long-only equity model with a large-cap bias. Holding period may exceed a year and usually not shorter than a month. No particular value or growth bias. Diversified across sectors.
Long only, with a focus on the long-term performance of selected stocks. Technical factors are of secondary importance. I select stocks from the S&P 500 through screening fundamental factors at the individual company level and the risks and opportunities at the sector level, combined by means of a factor-model calibration. The aim is to construct a portfolio that achieves a high positive information ratio (lower tracking error, given the excess return over the index).
The portfolio is based on a factor model, with company level fundamental data as explanatory variables, taking into account sector rotation over the business cycle, and the impact of commodity prices on various sectors. I verify model parameters through a Bayesian approach.
The typical number of holdings will be within the range of 20-50. Depending on the global macro view, sector allocation weights may range from 0% to 50%. No individual stock will be allowed to have a weight of more than 25% of the overall portfolio at any given point in time. This will be achieved through occasional rebalancing.
I will sell a stock if it is no longer ranked in the top 25th percentile according to my screening model. A well-performing stock will be sold if its annual performance becomes an outlier, given the historically observed performance of all the stocks in its sector.
Although the portfolio has primarily a large-cap bias, some allocation to mid-cap or small-cap stocks is not ruled out.

Risk score

4
10.6%

Best 30 days

-10.6%

Worst 30 days

Performance

  • 6.7%
    30 day
  • 6.7%
    90 day
  • 13.9%
    365 day
Monthly vs S&P500
banu simmons - long only sector rotation
-11.2% 12 months
  • $10,000 subscription min
  • 1% fee

Replicability

100.0%
  • Replicable

Top 5 Holdings View all

14.7%
7.6%
7.2%
5.2%
5.1%

Model commentary

  1. Two natural gas plays we like: Range Resources and SouthWestern Energy

    12 April 2013

    Rising gas prices lifted the performance of our energy investments.

  2. 2013 stock picks: Apple, Priceline, Expedia, Ralph Lauren and Coach 16 December 2012
  3. We like housing and energy plays in this recovering economy 20 November 2012
  4. Ralph Lauren is a smart proxy play for China's luxury market 10 September 2012
  5. Banu Simmons, a double threat investment manager 22 August 2012

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Performance detail

  • Manager
  • S&P 500

Performance

Inception February 24, 2012
as of May 23, 2013 Manager S&P 500 Average Subscriber
Past 30 days 6.7% 4.5% -
Past 90 days 6.7% 8.9% -
Past 365 days 13.9% 25.1% -
Since Inception (Annualized) 8.4% 16.5% -
2013 (YTD) 9.4% 15.7% -

Risk Metrics

Last 365 days
as of May 23, 2013 Manager S&P 500
Best 30 days 10.6% 8.2%
Worst 30 days -6.2% -7.0%
Volatility 15.2% 12.7%
Sharpe Ratio 0.90 1.97
Sortino Ratio 1.41 2.85
Maximum Drawdown -8.4% -7.7%
Value-at-risk (95%, 1 week) -3.5% -2.9%
vs. S&P 500
Information Ratio -1.69
Alpha -11.0%
Beta 1.08
R-Squared 0.81
  • $10,000 subscription min
  • 1% fee

Latest transactions view all

Average trades per month 1.2
Executed Symbol Security Replicable Type Price
05/21/13 AZO AUTOZONE INC Yes Sell $422.50
01/29/13 AMZN AMAZON.COM INC Yes Sell $268.00
10/22/12 COH COACH INC Yes Sell $53.85
09/21/12 TSO TESORO CORP Yes Buy $41.38
09/21/12 AAPL Apple Inc Yes Buy $701.00
09/21/12 FB Facebook Inc. Yes Buy $22.90
09/19/12 LEN LENNAR CORP-A Yes Buy $36.40
09/18/12 PCLN PRICELINE.COM INC Yes Buy $641.00


Important Information

1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

2. Performance of the model manager's account is calculated by Covestor on a daily time-weighted basis, including cash, dividends and earnings distributions, and broker commissions. Manager returns include trades that fail Covestor's trading rules, do not reflect any Covestor suitability or risk score restrictions and are exclusive of Covestor fees. More

3. Average subscription returns ("Avg Sub" or "Avg Client") are calculated by Covestor and are composed of the average, daily, time weighted returns of all active subscriptions to the underlying model. These daily average returns are then linked together for the timeframe requested. In addition, these returns include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, brokerage commissions, Covestor advisory fees, and reflect individual client suitability and risk score restrictions. More

4. All graph data is as of the end of day for the referenced period, unless otherwise specified. The subscription minimum is the minimum subscription required to follow a particular model. The minimum amount is determined by Covestor, based on the characteristics of the underlying model. It should not be considered as specific investment advice for your investment situation.

5. The performance charts are provided for informational purposes only, and should not be used as the basis for making an investment decision. Variables such as corporate actions or foreign exchange may affect daily performance displays. We rely on mathematical formulas, computer programs, and pricing information from third-party vendors to provide these returns. Neither Covestor nor any of its data or content providers shall be liable for any errors in this information or any actions taken by you in reliance upon this information.

6. Benchmark returns have been calculated by Covestor using a time-weighted calculation of daily index valuations and do not include cash, dividends and earnings distributions, or transaction costs. More

7. Leverage indicates the level of margin utilized and is calculated by dividing gross exposure by portfolio net liquidation value.

8. All Model Manager information including personal data, profiles, strategies, monthly investment reports, and historical results outside of Covestor has been provided by the Model Manager. Covestor makes no representation or warranty of its accuracy, completeness or relevance and it does not represent the opinions of Covestor. Transaction history is available upon request. Model classifications (Approach, Asset Class) are provided by Covestor, and are intended to serve as a general guide.

9. Top Replicable Holdings: These securities are currently held in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable Holdings" currently pass Covestor's trading rules, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription holdings may vary.

10. Latest Transactions: These transactions were executed in the model manager's brokerage account. Those marked as "Replicable" () passed Covestor's trading rules and were eligible for replication at the time of execution, subject to individual client constraints. Eligibility for replication may change over time. Actual client subscription trade activity may vary.

11. S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index compiled by Standard & Poor´s Corp. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. S&P 500 index data: S&P/Dow Jones Indices LLC, a subsidiary of The McGraw-Hill Companies Copyright © 2013.